The Employment Trends Index Rose on Seven of Eight Components
The headline says the labor market is stabilizing. The one hard employer signal inside the index says the opposite.
The headline says the labor market is stabilizing. The one hard employer signal inside the index says the opposite.
The team that looks the most stable on paper is usually the one quietly losing the most output.
Most 30/60/90 plans are activity lists. That's onboarding theater.
The headline unemployment rate barely moved. Almost all the damage was absorbed by workers trying to enter the labor force for the first time.
Top performers don't quit over titles. They quit because their Tuesday looks the same as it did 18 months ago.
Healthcare added 618,000 jobs over the past 12 months. Every other sector combined lost ground.
The national 4.4% rate looks stable. Underneath, state-level deterioration is outpacing improvement seven to one.
Employers cited AI for one in four announced cuts last month, up from one in twenty for all of 2025. The narrative shift is happening in real time.